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Kaulkin Ginsberg Index Down Due To Rise In Bankruptcy Filings

Drop in Charge-Off Rate also Pushes Index Down

September 14, 2005: BETHESDA, MD - The Kaulkin Ginsberg Index (KGI), the leading indicator of economic conditions affecting the accounts receivable management (ARM) industry, is down 3% from its all-time high to 1263.5. This decline was caused by the dramatic increase the number of bankruptcy filings, as well as a more moderate drop in charge-off rates.

Despite the KGI's monthly decline, the index remains up 12.7% year over year.

"While a record number of bankruptcy filings will place some pressure on ARM companies moving forward, this is not the beginning of a trend," said Paul Legrady, Director of Kaulkin Ginsberg's Research Group. "Most of these filings were made in time to beat the October deadline of the new federal bankruptcy laws, which, as a whole, are friendlier to the ARM industry."

The KGI's run-up in the spring of 2005 was caused by upward performance among all seven of the KGI's contributing variables. In July 2005, the period for which the most recent economic information is available, the Charge-off Rate and the number of Bankruptcy Filings both placed downward pressure on the Index.

Variable
July 2005*
Variable
Change*
Effect on KGI*
Unemployment Rate
4.9%
3.3%
Up
Federal Funds Rate
3.26%
7.2%
Up
Charge-off Rate
0.49%
-9.3%
Down
Outstanding Consumer Credit
$2.157T
0.5%
Up
Total Market Cap of ARM Stocks
$3.3B
1.0%
Up
Bankruptcy Filings
497,333
-43%
Down
Consumer Price Index
195.4
0.5%
Up
* See "How is the KGI Calculated," www.kaulkin.com/research/kgi/calculate.cfm

The KGI is a product of Kaulkin Ginsberg's Research Group, which provides industry-specific publications and custom research services to the ARM industry. For more information about the Kaulkin Ginsberg Index, see www.kaulkin.com/research/kgi.cfm or call Paul Legrady, Director of Kaulkin Ginsberg's Research Group, at 301-907-0840 ext. 104.

About Kaulkin Ginsberg Company
Kaulkin Ginsberg is a diversified strategic advisory, media and technology company, providing solutions to accounts receivable management (ARM) and other business services industries since 1989. Strategic advisory services include merger, acquisition and valuation advice, research, growth and operational consulting as well as training and executive search. Kaulkin Ginsberg's Research Group meets the market's demand for industry-related market intelligence, leveraging nearly 15 years of industry insight and proprietary data to support industry professionals and investors in their business decisions. Kaulkin Media publishes CollectionIndustry.com™ and Credit & Collection Daily™, and is the most popular source of industry information. Kaulkin Partners brings the latest technology to creditors and collectors. Read more about Kaulkin Ginsberg at www.kaulkin.com.